Quantitative Tools

Seasonality for SPY

Heatmaps & annual profiles to quickly understand historical tendencies.

Annual Cumulative Returns

Seasonality Heatmap

Summary Statistics

Understanding Seasonality

What is seasonality?

Recurring patterns by month, quarter, weekday, or calendar day. Not guarantees, but helpful context when framing trades.

How to interpret the charts

  • Heatmaps: Average returns for each bucket — intensity shows magnitude.
  • Summary stats: Win rate, average gain/loss, and dispersion metrics.
  • Annual paths: Compare the current year vs. past analogs.

Practical applications

  • Time entries around historical tailwinds/headwinds.
  • Spot when current action deviates from “normal.”
  • Layer seasonal context onto technical or fundamental setups.