Quantitative Tools
Seasonality for SPY
Heatmaps & annual profiles to quickly understand historical tendencies.
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Understanding Seasonality
What is seasonality?
Recurring patterns by month, quarter, weekday, or calendar day. Not guarantees, but helpful context when framing trades.
How to interpret the charts
- Heatmaps: Average returns for each bucket — intensity shows magnitude.
- Summary stats: Win rate, average gain/loss, and dispersion metrics.
- Annual paths: Compare the current year vs. past analogs.
Practical applications
- Time entries around historical tailwinds/headwinds.
- Spot when current action deviates from “normal.”
- Layer seasonal context onto technical or fundamental setups.